How Much Money Does A Football Player Make Per Game Betting Trends

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Betting Trends

I like matchups and situational disadvantage. This includes things like strengths vs. weaknesses, bad lines, homecoming, and revenge locations. I don’t really like betting trends. Trends can be dangerous. Some novice sports bettors think, “This team has lost 3 in a row against the number, that means they’re more likely to cover this game.” Well, you better have more reason on your part to back a team than something like that.

For example, Fresno State participated in the Hawaii game two weeks ago as the home dog. Fresno hadn’t covered since late last season. Anyone who watches the trends might think that Fresno HAS to cover this game, as a cover awaits them. Well, that kind of simplistic thinking doesn’t work in the competitive world of handicap sports.

For the record, Fresno was shelled again, 68-37 as a +3 home dog. That made them 0-6 against the spread this season. Alright, so maybe the next game will cover it, right? Now they are REALLY due! Well, the due factor is still going strong as Fresno was unable to cover again, this time as a +31 dog on La Tech, a 38-6 loss. Okay, they’re getting close, but try saying that to the man at the betting window while waving a losing ticket in his face. He’s not going to cut it!

I would suggest focusing more on matchups and things like home/away game and current game, rather than looking at a trend. For example, on Sunday in the NFL I had a play on the visiting Atlanta Falcons in Cincinnati. In my analysis I noted, “This whole game comes down to who rules in the trenches. Atlanta leads the league at 6.1 yards per rush, while second place is a distant 5.2 to the Eagles. Just put the Falcons on the run.” the ball over everyone.

They have topped 220 rushing yards in 4 of 6 games. Cincinnati, on the other hand, allows 4.6 yards per carry, well above the league average of 4.0. Therefore, I expect the Falcons to control the clock and have a lot of success moving the ball. Cincinnati is thought to have an explosive offense, but this year that’s not the case. The Bengals average 5.1 yards per play, right in line with a league-wide 5.1 ypp average. Atlanta gets to 5.5 yards per play on offense.

The Bengals have really fallen on hard times offensively of late. In the last three games he has scored 17, 13 and 13 points. What makes these numbers even stranger is that Carson Palmer hasn’t been shut down in any of the last three games. In fact, they only have two total turnovers in those games. So it’s not like mistakes keep them out of the end zone.” Atlanta has the staff to give Bengal’s offense trouble, and they should have a great day handling the ball.” Cincy not only covered but won the game.

Do you see what I was looking at? First, look at what I wasn’t looking at: No trends! Second, I looked at how the Bengals have been playing lately, the mismatch on the field that favored the visitors, and the public perception that Cincy is an explosive offense. To me, cold, hard facts are more important than any betting trend or “expiration factor.”

That’s the trick for trend bettors: WHEN will this trend happen? It is impossible to say based solely on the lagging trend factor. Successful sports handicap encompasses many factors. It’s much smarter to look at as many factors as possible, such as the playing field, weather, playing surface, training, strength vs. weakness, and revenge points. Winning ATS is about examining all the pieces and finding multiple edges in a game, not just one angle.

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